Okay, it boils down to this. If the Demos take Montana, Missouri, and Virginia, then we have the Senate. Here are the latest numbers:

Montana
Tester (D): 88,302
Burns (R): 75,256

40% precincts

Missouri
Claire McCaskill (D): 812,038
Jim Talent (R): 799,471

80.3% precincts

Virginia
Webb (D): 1,150,473
Allen (R): 1,148,656

99.47% precincts